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Electoral Calculus was founded and is run by Martin Baxter, [1] who was a financial analyst specialising in mathematical modelling. [2] The Electoral Calculus website includes election data, predictions and analysis. It has separate sections for elections in Scotland and in Northern Ireland. [3]
A calculus of voting represents a hypothesized decision-making process. These models are used in political science in an attempt to capture the relative importance of various factors influencing an elector to vote (or not vote) in a particular way.
Interactive maps, databases and real ... HuffPost Data. Visualization, analysis, interactive maps and real-time graphics ... 5/12 Make Your Own Election Map. Explore ...
The 2023 review was the successor to the 2018 periodic review of Westminster constituencies, which was abandoned after it failed to pass into law.After abandonment of several previous reviews since 2015, the 2023 review was set to be the first review based on electoral registers drawn up using Individual Electoral Registration, which Parliament approved from 2014–15. [4]
These figures show Electoral Calculus’s own projections, which the company says should always be given with attribution and include the date the data was observed. On June 14, Electoral Calculus ...
Electoral Calculus categorises the seat as being part of the “Somewheres” demographic, those who have socially conservative views and economically soft left views, alongside strong support for Brexit. For reference, the site gives a notional result of 74% for those who voted to leave the EU back in 2016.
The seat covers the isles of Anglesey and Holy Island.Incomes and house prices are slightly below average for the UK. Electoral Calculus describes the seat as "Traditionalist", characterised by socially conservative Labour-inclined voters with lower levels of income and formal education.
Electoral Calculus categorises the seat as being part of the “Strong Right” demographic, those who have fiscally conservative views on the economy but are also fairly nationalist and socially conservative, alongside strong support for Brexit. Additionally, the gross household income is £53,612 whilst the average house price is £567,313.