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“The idea that this stuff could actually get smarter than people — a few people believed that,” Hinton told the New York Times. “But most people thought it was way off. “But most people ...
A superintelligence is a hypothetical agent that possesses intelligence surpassing that of the brightest and most gifted human minds. "Superintelligence" may also refer to a property of problem-solving systems (e.g., superintelligent language translators or engineering assistants) whether or not these high-level intellectual competencies are embodied in agents that act in the world.
Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control is a 2019 non-fiction book by computer scientist Stuart J. Russell.It asserts that the risk to humanity from advanced artificial intelligence (AI) is a serious concern despite the uncertainty surrounding future progress in AI.
Fortunately, generative AI, while advanced, is still a ways off from being considered true AGI and at least as long as that remains the case there will still be an argument for needing people.
"If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as smarter than the smartest human, I think it's probably next year, within two years," Musk said when asked about the timeline for development
The attainment of greater-than-human intelligence between 2005 and 2030 was predicted by Vinge in 1993. [4] A singularity in 2021 was predicted by Yudkowsky in 1996. [22] Human-level AI around 2029 and the singularity in 2045 was predicted by Kurzweil in 2005. [36] [37] He reaffirmed these predictions in 2024 in The Singularity is Nearer. [38]
Rather than a Friendly AI being designed directly by human programmers, it is to be designed by a "seed AI" programmed to first study human nature and then produce the AI that humanity would want, given sufficient time and insight, to arrive at a satisfactory answer. [16]
Within five years, Musk added, AI will be smarter than every human on earth. It’s worth noting that Musk’s forecasts are often premature, especially when they revolve around products he is ...