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  2. Probability distribution fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution...

    When the smaller values tend to be farther away from the mean than the larger values, one has a skew distribution to the left (i.e. there is negative skewness), one may for example select the square-normal distribution (i.e. the normal distribution applied to the square of the data values), [1] the inverted (mirrored) Gumbel distribution, [1 ...

  3. Curve fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curve_fitting

    Fitting of a noisy curve by an asymmetrical peak model, with an iterative process (Gauss–Newton algorithm with variable damping factor α).Curve fitting [1] [2] is the process of constructing a curve, or mathematical function, that has the best fit to a series of data points, [3] possibly subject to constraints.

  4. Mean squared prediction error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_squared_prediction_error

    The MSPE can be decomposed into two terms: the squared bias (mean error) of the fitted values and the variance of the fitted values: MSPE = ME 2 + VAR , {\displaystyle \operatorname {MSPE} =\operatorname {ME} ^{2}+\operatorname {VAR} ,}

  5. Goodness of fit - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodness_of_fit

    The resulting value can be compared with a chi-square distribution to determine the goodness of fit. The chi-square distribution has ( k − c ) degrees of freedom , where k is the number of non-empty bins and c is the number of estimated parameters (including location and scale parameters and shape parameters) for the distribution plus one.

  6. Projection matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projection_matrix

    In statistics, the projection matrix (), [1] sometimes also called the influence matrix [2] or hat matrix (), maps the vector of response values (dependent variable values) to the vector of fitted values (or predicted values).

  7. Mean absolute percentage error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_absolute_percentage_error

    where A t is the actual value and F t is the forecast value. Their difference is divided by the actual value A t. The absolute value of this ratio is summed for every forecasted point in time and divided by the number of fitted points n.

  8. Glossary of probability and statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossary_of_probability...

    In inferential statistics, a range of plausible values for some unknown parameter, such as a population mean, defined as an interval with a lower bound and an upper bound. [2] The precise values of these bounds are calculated from a pre-determined confidence level, chosen by the researcher. The confidence level represents the frequency of ...

  9. Linear probability model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_probability_model

    Here the dependent variable for each observation takes values which are either 0 or 1. The probability of observing a 0 or 1 in any one case is treated as depending on one or more explanatory variables. For the "linear probability model", this relationship is a particularly simple one, and allows the model to be fitted by linear regression.