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Prediction markets, ... by using internal markets to forecast outcomes of drug research and development ... (software) is a decentralized prediction market platform ...
Augur is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the Ethereum blockchain. [1] Augur is developed by Forecast Foundation, which was founded in 2014 by Jack Peterson, Joey Krug, and Jeremy Gardner. [2]
Prediction markets are "going to attract people who want to influence public perception," Broughel says. Instead of spending money on TV ads or donating, supporters of certain political candidates ...
Quantified forecasting is an invaluable and yet underused tool, and prediction markets appear a vital tool for its adoption. Forecasting, Prediction Markets and the Age of Better Information Skip ...
Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...
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[2] [4] In June 2017, the Metaculus Prediction was launched, which is a system for aggregating user predictions. [8] The Metaculus Prediction, on average, outperforms the median of the community's predictions when evaluated using the Brier or Log scoring rules. [9] In 2021, Metaculus received an Effective altruism infrastructure fund grant ...
Since Coplan, 26, founded the crypto-based prediction market platform, Polymarket has raised $70 million, and in September reportedly sought to raise an additional $50 million among the election ...