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Betsson, Bwin, Points Bet, Polymarket and Smarkets now have the race as a pick'em. Betfair gives Trump a 1% edge over Harris, 48% to 47%. Bvoda still has Harris ahead, 51% to 49%.
While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
On October 7, 2024, Polymarket showed a spike in the odds Donald Trump would win the 2024 election, to 53.3%, with a corresponding decline in Kamala Harris's odds, to 46.1%. Two Polymarket competitors continued to show Harris with better odds of winning, at about 51%; Polymarket also showed a slight edge for Harris throughout September.
Points Bet have it 58-42, Polymarket has it 56-39 and Smarkets has it 55-41. On July 15, Trump had a 64% chance of winning the election, but then he was running against President Joe Biden.
While polls tell you about how people responded in the recent past, the odds on sites like PredictIt and Polymarket show real-time sentiment and are better for mapping the future, according to Miller.
Betting odds do no such thing — and nor do they pretend to. It is best to look at betting odds exactly as they are . They simply reflect the amount of bets which have been placed on either ...
Polymarket gives Trump even better odds, 51-44. Smarkets has the race at a dead heat, 48-48. The odds swung over the weekend when Trump's odds of winning Pennsylvania went up.