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The log-likelihood function being plotted is used in the computation of the score (the gradient of the log-likelihood) and Fisher information (the curvature of the log-likelihood). Thus, the graph has a direct interpretation in the context of maximum likelihood estimation and likelihood-ratio tests.
The likelihood-ratio test, also known as Wilks test, [2] is the oldest of the three classical approaches to hypothesis testing, together with the Lagrange multiplier test and the Wald test. [3] In fact, the latter two can be conceptualized as approximations to the likelihood-ratio test, and are asymptotically equivalent.
The numerator is the difference between the maximum likelihoods of the two models, corrected for the number of coefficients analogous to the BIC, the term in the denominator of the expression for Z, , is defined by setting equal to either the mean of the squares of the pointwise log-likelihood ratios , or to the sample variance of these values ...
The likelihood function for the second model thus sets μ 1 = μ 2 and σ 1 = σ 2 in the above equation; so it only has two parameters. We then maximize the likelihood functions for the two models (in practice, we maximize the log-likelihood functions); after that, it is easy to calculate the AIC values of the models.
Likelihood Ratio: An example "test" is that the physical exam finding of bulging flanks has a positive likelihood ratio of 2.0 for ascites. Estimated change in probability: Based on table above, a likelihood ratio of 2.0 corresponds to an approximately +15% increase in probability.
For logistic regression, the measure of goodness-of-fit is the likelihood function L, or its logarithm, the log-likelihood ℓ. The likelihood function L is analogous to the ε 2 {\displaystyle \varepsilon ^{2}} in the linear regression case, except that the likelihood is maximized rather than minimized.
For very small samples the multinomial test for goodness of fit, and Fisher's exact test for contingency tables, or even Bayesian hypothesis selection are preferable to the G-test. [2] McDonald recommends to always use an exact test (exact test of goodness-of-fit, Fisher's exact test ) if the total sample size is less than 1 000 .
Similarly, likelihoods are often transformed to the log scale, and the corresponding log-likelihood can be interpreted as the degree to which an event supports a statistical model. The log probability is widely used in implementations of computations with probability, and is studied as a concept in its own right in some applications of ...