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A hedge is an investment position intended to offset potential losses or gains that may be incurred by a companion investment. A hedge can be constructed from many types of financial instruments, including stocks, exchange-traded funds, insurance, forward contracts, swaps, options, gambles, [1] many types of over-the-counter and derivative products, and futures contracts.
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Kalshi, is a U.S. CFTC-regulated betting market [40] and available only for U.S. residents. [41] [42] Manifold is a reputation-based prediction market that also features 'Sweepcash' which can be withdrawn for real money. Metaculus is a reputation-based prediction website with the ability to make numeric-range or date-range predictions, inspired ...
Beta is the hedge ratio of an investment with respect to the stock market. For example, to hedge out the market-risk of a stock with a market beta of 2.0, an investor would short $2,000 in the stock market for every $1,000 invested in the stock. Thus insured, movements of the overall stock market no longer influence the combined position on ...
Next year's top pick for hedge fund strategies is so-called macro, with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump centre-stage as investors bet on how global policy decisions will impact economic ...
A rough year for the stock market was a winning one for some of the biggest names in the business. Hedge funds got their 'hedge' back in 2022: Morning Brief [Video] Skip to main content
Example of the optimal Kelly betting fraction, versus expected return of other fractional bets. In probability theory, the Kelly criterion (or Kelly strategy or Kelly bet) is a formula for sizing a sequence of bets by maximizing the long-term expected value of the logarithm of wealth, which is equivalent to maximizing the long-term expected geometric growth rate.
The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that stock prices reflect all currently available information and any price changes that are not based on newly revealed information thus are inherently unpredictable. Others disagree and those with this viewpoint possess ...