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The latest polls from AtlasIntel, deemed the most accurate by polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, found Trump leading Harris in Georgia by a mere 0.6%, with 49.6% of the vote to Harris’ 49%.
However, despite Harris losing Georgia and the election, she managed to improve on Biden's margins in a few Atlanta suburban counties, including but not limited to Fayette, where her 3.1% defeat was the closest a presidential Democrat has come to winning the county since favorite son Jimmy Carter comfortably did so in 1976; Henry, where her 29. ...
In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Here we will track the daily polling numbers from three different sites as the country gears up for the Nov. 5 election. Georgia turned blue in 2020 when Joe Biden won the election by fewer than ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
The 2020 election was the first time Georgia has gone blue since 1980, when Georgia's Jimmy Carter won the state by nearly 15%. National Polling Numbers for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
This year continues the trend from the past few elections of Trump outperforming the polls. According to Project 538's polling average, Trump was leading Harris by just 0.8% going into Election Day.