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Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
Alert to election watchers: On Oct. 29, Miller unveiled a new site that continuously displays the electoral vote count that the PredictIt odds suggest each candidate is winning. PredictIt updates ...
From now until Election Day, Miller is posting the projected electoral vote (EV) totals for the two candidates in real time; he updates the numbers shortly after the PredictIT prices change, on ...
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota.
Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...
As of 2024, Wisconsin has, together with Michigan and Pennsylvania, the longest-running active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the latest five presidential elections. The results also extended it to nine consecutive presidential elections where the winning party did not differ between ...
Bettors poured $476 million into the presidential race's outcome on Kalshi. Polymarket's site says more than $3.6 billion was spent betting on the race, though users in the US weren't legally ...