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  2. Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a ...

    www.aol.com/trump-harris-both-normal-polling...

    As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538's polling averages is smaller than 4 points in seven states: the familiar septet of Arizona ...

  3. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  4. Polls show Harris gaining after the presidential debate

    www.aol.com/polls-show-harris-gaining...

    This year, thanks to her stronger standing in state polls than in national ones, our forecast thinks Harris needs to win the national popular vote by only about 2.1 points in order to be favored ...

  5. 2024 United States presidential election betting odds: Trump ...

    www.aol.com/2024-united-states-presidential...

    According to realclearpolling.com, Harris now has a 49.4% chance to win November's election while Trump comes in at 49.3%. And now they're split across the board.

  6. Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still ...

    www.aol.com/trump-gained-538s-forecast-election...

    Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...

  7. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls for several weeks. The latest polls from the New York Times /Siena College have Harris ahead by 3 points, at 49 percent and ...

  8. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/news/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    Harris has 49 percent of the vote and Trump 48 percent, according to the poll, which was taken in the first two weeks of October. This close race is also reflected in the swing states.

  9. Americans split on whether Trump, Harris favored to win in ...

    www.aol.com/americans-split-whether-trump-harris...

    Americans are evenly divided on whether former President Trump or Vice President Harris are favored to win the presidential race in November, according to a new poll. The survey from The Economist ...