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  2. Predictive methods for surgery duration - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_methods_for...

    The more accurate the predictions, the better the scheduling of surgeries (in terms of the required OR utilization optimization). An SD predictive method would ideally deliver a predicted SD statistical distribution (specifying the distribution and estimating its parameters).

  3. Posterior predictive distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Posterior_predictive...

    In Bayesian statistics, the posterior predictive distribution is the distribution of possible unobserved values conditional on the observed values. [1] [2]Given a set of N i.i.d. observations = {, …,}, a new value ~ will be drawn from a distribution that depends on a parameter , where is the parameter space.

  4. Deviance information criterion - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deviance_information_criterion

    A resolution to the issues above was suggested by Ando (2007), with the proposal of the Bayesian predictive information criterion (BPIC). Ando (2010, Ch. 8) provided a discussion of various Bayesian model selection criteria. To avoid the over-fitting problems of DIC, Ando (2011) developed Bayesian model selection criteria from a predictive view ...

  5. Predictive probability of success - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_probability_of...

    Predictive probability of success (PPOS) is a statistics concept commonly used in the pharmaceutical industry including by health authorities to support decision making. In clinical trials , PPOS is the probability of observing a success in the future based on existing data.

  6. Predictive analytics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics

    It is important to note, however, that the accuracy and usability of results will depend greatly on the level of data analysis and the quality of assumptions. [1] Predictive analytics is often defined as predicting at a more detailed level of granularity, i.e., generating predictive scores (probabilities) for each individual organizational element.

  7. Likelihood ratios in diagnostic testing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_ratios_in...

    In fact, post-test probability, as estimated from the likelihood ratio and pre-test probability, is generally more accurate than if estimated from the positive predictive value of the test, if the tested individual has a different pre-test probability than what is the prevalence of that condition in the population.

  8. Clinical prediction rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clinical_prediction_rule

    In a prediction rule study, investigators identify a consecutive group of patients who are suspected of having a specific disease or outcome. The investigators then obtain a standard set of clinical observations on each patient and a test or clinical follow-up to define the true state of the patient.

  9. Health care analytics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_care_analytics

    Health care analytics is the health care analysis activities that can be undertaken as a result of data collected from four areas within healthcare: (1) claims and cost data, (2) pharmaceutical and research and development (R&D) data, (3) clinical data (such as collected from electronic medical records (EHRs)), and (4) patient behaviors and preferences data (e.g. patient satisfaction or retail ...