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In statistics, a moving average (rolling average or running average or moving mean [1] or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: simple, cumulative, or weighted forms. Mathematically, a moving average is a type of convolution.
Exponential smoothing. Exponential smoothing or exponential moving average (EMA) is a rule of thumb technique for smoothing time series data using the exponential window function. Whereas in the simple moving average the past observations are weighted equally, exponential functions are used to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time.
The simple moving average (SMA) is a literal average of prices over time. Taking the example of a 200-day simple moving average, you would add up the closing price of the stock over the past 200 ...
In the statistical analysis of time series, autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) models are a way to describe of a (weakly) stationary stochastic process using autoregression (AR) and a moving average (MA), each with a polynomial. They are a tool for understanding a series and predicting future values. AR involves regressing the variable on ...
Moving-average model. In time series analysis, the moving-average model (MA model), also known as moving-average process, is a common approach for modeling univariate time series. [1][2] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable.
Local regression or local polynomial regression, [1] also known as moving regression, [2] is a generalization of the moving average and polynomial regression. [3] Its most common methods, initially developed for scatterplot smoothing, are LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing) and LOWESS (locally weighted scatterplot smoothing), both pronounced / ˈ l oʊ ɛ s / LOH-ess.
The zero lag exponential moving average (ZLEMA) is a technical indicator within technical analysis that aims is to eliminate the inherent lag associated to all trend following indicators which average a price over time. As is the case with the double exponential moving average (DEMA) and the triple exponential moving average (TEMA) this ...
The default choice for the average is a simple moving average, but other types of averages can be employed as needed. Exponential moving averages are a common second choice. [note 1] Usually the same period is used for both the middle band and the calculation of standard deviation. [note 2]