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In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...
The probability of a recession by the end of 2025 currently sits at 45%, according to the report. However, keep in mind that these predictions aren't always accurate.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York regularly attempts to calculate the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months using the difference between the 10-year and three-month Treasury ...
AI isn’t going anywhere in 2025, either If the rise of artificial intelligence characterized the stock market surges of 2023 and 2024, then 2025 will be the year the technology sticks around for ...
Things might change (for the worse) in 2025, though. The Federal Reserve puts the probability of a recession in the next 12 months at 42%. That's not an overwhelmingly high percentage, but it's ...
Find Out: 4 Low-Risk Ways To Build Your Savings in 2025 “Tariffs are by now a well-known form of taxation. There has been much written and even more said,” he said.
January 5-6 - Southern and Central Ohio is hit by a blizzard. [1] January 20 - The Ohio State Buckeyes defeat the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 34-23 in the Playoff National Championship, their first win since the 2014 season. [2] January 26 - 20-58 people were arrested during ICE raids in Geauga County. [3] [4] [5]
Either way, I think it's a bad idea to time the markets and conclude that 2025 will be a weak year just because 2023 and 2024 were some of the best years we've had in recent memory.