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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the candidate names. For legacy polling, visit the Biden vs. Trump page .
Trump wins 49 times out of 100. There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner. What are the latest national polls influencing the forecast? We adjust polls for house...
Minnesota: Trump vs. Harris Atlas Intel Harris 49, Trump 47 Harris +2 Montana: Trump vs. Harris Atlas Intel Trump 59, Harris 39 Trump +20 North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Atlas Intel Trump 50 ...
This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
We track polls from across the country and synthesise them to measure the state of the race. After she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden, Ms Harris’s standing rose.