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There is no official definition of a recession, according to the IMF. [3] In the United States, a recession is defined as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the market, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales."
The recession of 2020, was the shortest and steepest in U.S. history and marked the end of 128 months of expansion. Key Predictors, Indicators and Warning Signs of a Recession
An economic expansion is an upturn in the level of economic activity and of the goods and services available. It is a finite period of growth, often measured by a rise in real GDP , that marks a reversal from a previous period, for example, while recovering from a recession .
An expansion is the period from a trough to a peak and a recession as the period from a peak to a trough. The NBER identifies a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production". [26]
The recession of 2020, was the shortest and steepest in U.S. history and marked the end of 128 months of expansion. Key Predictors, Indicators and Warning Signs
Economists commonly use the term recession to mean either a period of two successive calendar quarters each having negative growth [clarification needed] of real gross domestic product [1] [2] [3] —that is, of the total amount of goods and services produced within a country—or that provided by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): "...a significant decline in economic activity ...
As of 2023, the stimulus money faucet has been turned off, and the Fed is aggressively raising interest rates to fight off high inflation. This has led many economists to predict a recession ...
The International Monetary Fund defines a global recession as "a decline in annual per‑capita real World GDP (purchasing power parity weighted), backed up by a decline or worsening for one or more of the seven other global macroeconomic indicators: Industrial production, trade, capital flows, oil consumption, unemployment rate, per‑capita investment, and per‑capita consumption".