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In probability theory, the chain rule [1] (also called the general product rule [2] [3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities.
The formula expresses the fact that the sum of the sizes of the two sets may be too large since some elements may be counted twice. The double-counted elements are those in the intersection of the two sets and the count is corrected by subtracting the size of the intersection.
Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent [1] if, informally speaking, the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other or, equivalently, does not affect the odds.
The conditional probability can be found by the quotient of the probability of the joint intersection of events A and B, that is, (), the probability at which A and B occur together, and the probability of B: [2] [6] [7] = ().
A probability is a way of assigning every event a value between zero and one, with the requirement that the event made up of all possible results (in our example, the event {1,2,3,4,5,6}) is assigned a value of one. To qualify as a probability, the assignment of values must satisfy the requirement that for any collection of mutually exclusive ...
Events A and B can be assumed to be independent i.e. knowledge that A is late has minimal to no change on the probability that B will be late. However, if a third event is introduced, person A and person B live in the same neighborhood, the two events are now considered not conditionally independent.
The probability of any tri-event is defined as the probability that it occurs divided by the probability that it either occurs or fails to occur. [3] With this convention, conditions 2 and 3 above are satisfied by the two leading tri-event CEA types. Condition 1, however, fails.
The probability that X n = 0 occurs for infinitely many n is equivalent to the probability of the intersection of infinitely many [X n = 0] events. The intersection of infinitely many such events is a set of outcomes common to all of them. However, the sum ΣPr(X n = 0) converges to π 2 /6 ≈ 1.645 < ∞, and so the Borel–Cantelli Lemma ...