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  2. Binomial proportion confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_proportion...

    Given this observed proportion, the confidence interval for the true probability of the coin landing on heads is a range of possible proportions, which may or may not contain the true proportion. A 95% confidence interval for the proportion, for instance, will contain the true proportion 95% of the times that the procedure for constructing the ...

  3. Confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_interval

    Methods for calculating confidence intervals for the binomial proportion appeared from the 1920s. [6] [7] The main ideas of confidence intervals in general were developed in the early 1930s, [8] [9] [10] and the first thorough and general account was given by Jerzy Neyman in 1937.

  4. Coverage probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coverage_probability

    In statistical estimation theory, the coverage probability, or coverage for short, is the probability that a confidence interval or confidence region will include the true value (parameter) of interest. It can be defined as the proportion of instances where the interval surrounds the true value as assessed by long-run frequency. [1]

  5. 68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68–95–99.7_rule

    In the social sciences, a result may be considered statistically significant if its confidence level is of the order of a two-sigma effect (95%), while in particle physics and astrophysics, there is a convention of requiring statistical significance of a five-sigma effect (99.99994% confidence) to qualify as a discovery.

  6. Rule of three (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_three_(statistics)

    By a similar argument, the numerator values of 3.51, 4.61, and 5.3 may be used for the 97%, 99%, and 99.5% confidence intervals, respectively, and in general the upper end of the confidence interval can be given as ⁡ (), where is the desired confidence level.

  7. Confidence and prediction bands - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_prediction...

    For example, f(x) might be the proportion of people of a particular age x who support a given candidate in an election. If x is measured at the precision of a single year, we can construct a separate 95% confidence interval for each age. Each of these confidence intervals covers the corresponding true value f(x) with confidence 0.

  8. Interval estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_estimation

    Confidence intervals are used to estimate the parameter of interest from a sampled data set, commonly the mean or standard deviation.A confidence interval states there is a 100γ% confidence that the parameter of interest is within a lower and upper bound.

  9. Sample size determination - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sample_size_determination

    To determine an appropriate sample size n for estimating proportions, the equation below can be solved, where W represents the desired width of the confidence interval. The resulting sample size formula, is often applied with a conservative estimate of p (e.g., 0.5): = /