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An analysis of the historical relationships among real stock returns, P/Es, earnings growth, and dividend yields and an awareness of the biases justify a future P/E of 20 to 25, an economic growth rate of 3 percent, expected real returns for equities of 4.5–5.5 percent, and an equity risk premium of 2 percent (200 bps). [5]
The average stock in the broader study (not just the 30 best-performing) were only present in the database for about 11.6 years, making companies on this list relative outliers.
The dividend yield of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is obtained from the annual dividends of all 30 companies in the average divided by their cumulative stock price, has also been considered to be an important indicator of the strength of the U.S. stock market. Historically, the Dow Jones dividend yield has fluctuated between 3.2% ...
The price/dividend first estimate of 25 years is easily calculated. If we assume an additional 33% duration to account for the discounted value of future dividend payments, that yields a duration of 33.3 years. Present value of the dividend payment in year one is $4, year two $4*1.065*.921=$3.92, year three $3.85, etc. There is an infinite ...
Across the globe, dividend payouts soared by 45% in three years, totaling $195 billion. But for the average worker, wages increased by a measly 3.3% over the same time frame.
Although its forward dividend yield is 0.74% -- compared to the S&P 500's average of 1.32% --its payout ratio is just under 25%, a conservative figure that gives it plenty of room to grow its ...
According to economist Robert J. Shiller, real earnings per share grew at a 3.5% annualized rate over 150 years. [2] Since 1980, the most bullish period in U.S. stock market history, real earnings growth according to Shiller, has been 2.6%. The table below gives recent values of earnings growth for S&P 500.
The stagnating price paired with dividend raises and the prospect of earnings growth has pushed the share's dividend yield up to 3% and the forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) down to just 21.5 ...