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MORE: How 538's 2024 Senate election forecast works. Here are five Senate races to watch Tuesday that will help determine Senate control and the sliver of races where Democrats are on offense.
On September 3, 2014, FiveThirtyEight introduced its forecasts for each of the 36 U.S. Senate elections being contested that year. [538 69] At that time, the Republican Party was given a 64 percent chance of holding a majority of the seats in the Senate after the election. However, Silver also remarked, "An equally important theme is the high ...
The New York Times "FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus" commenced on August 25, 2010, with the publication of "New Forecast Shows Democrats Losing 6 to 7 Senate Seats". [51] From that date the blog focused almost exclusively on forecasting the outcomes of the 2010 U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives elections as well as ...
According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win. ... And the Senate looks very different with, say, 55 Republican Senators than with 52 Republican Senators. With 52 ...
Even ahead of Tuesday, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat." Nov 7, 2:19 PM Gonzalez ekes out win in ...
The 2024 United States Senate elections were held on November 5, 2024. Regularly scheduled elections were held for 33 out of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate , [ 4 ] [ 5 ] and special elections were held in California [ 6 ] and Nebraska . [ 7 ]
Live election results and related data for Senate, House and governor's races. ... Forecasts for 2014’s Senate races, based on HuffPost Pollster’s poll-tracking ...
The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Tim Sheehy .