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Overall, House control is likely to come down to the 16 Republican-controlled districts that Democratic President Joe Biden carried in 2020 and the five Democratic-controlled districts that Republican Donald Trump won. Such districts are rich targets for both parties. Here’s a look at six of these toss-up races to watch this fall.
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024...
The balance of power in the House of Representatives will likely be decided by 43 of the most competitive races, according to the most recent ratings by the Cook Political Report.
Here are the types of races to watch that could decide control of the House. Incumbent Republicans in districts won by Biden: Reliably blue states. Image.
The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections in 2024. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the district's political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candidates and campaign professionals.
California is home to six bellwether U.S. House races that analysts say could help determine which party controls Congress in 2025. Why it matters: Latinos make up roughly one in four California voters this year — and hold an even larger share in some of the most competitive districts, meaning they're expected to play a crucial role in the ...
Only 36 races in 2022 were decided by less than 5 points. In their most recent ratings, these three outlets broadly agreed that somewhere between 42 and 44 of the House’s 435 seats are “in...
Leading candidate’s forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in the top 50 competitive districts. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty...
Here's how close the votes are for outstanding House and Senate races. With control of Congress still undecided, several seats have yet to be called in the House and Senate — many with very...
We’re tracking the remaining uncalled House races — and showing when they are called — as states continue to count votes from the midterm elections.