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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index is an American economic leading indicator intended to forecast future economic activity. It is calculated by The Conference Board, a non-governmental organization, which determines the value of the index from the values of ten key variables. These variables have historically turned downward before a ...
845 Third Avenue, Manhattan. The Conference Board, Inc. is a 501 (c) (3) non-profit business membership and research group organization. It counts over 1,000 public and private corporations and other organizations as members, encompassing 60 countries. The Conference Board convenes conferences and peer-learning groups, conducts economic and ...
The inverted yield curve, slowing rates of money supply growth, and the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) have all signaled a recession, leaving Wall Street anxious.
Components of the Conference Board's Leading Economic Indicators Index: [4] Average weekly hours (manufacturing) — Adjustments to the working hours of existing employees are usually made in advance of new hires or layoffs, which is why the measure of average weekly hours is a leading indicator for changes in unemployment.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index rose 0.5% in February, to 94.8, according to a Conference Board report (link opens a PDF) released today. Following a revised 0.5% bump for January ...
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index rose 0.5% to 93.9 for December, according to a Conference Board report [link opens in PDF] released today. After October's 0.3% bump and November's ...
The Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators -- a gauge of future economic activity -- suggests we could be seeing a mild upturn this spring. October's reading rose 0.5%, and ...
Overview of recession indicators: Index of Leading (Economic) Indicators (LEI) (includes some of the above indicators). [115] The LEI's lead time is six to seven months. [116] The Conference Board’s leading index is highly accurate in the near term, one to three months ahead (accomplishing an AUC value of 0.97). [117]