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Today, 538 is unveiling a new polling average for President Donald Trump's job approval rating. Based on the 11 polls released since his inauguration on Jan. 20, Trump's average approval rating ...
Here is a look at three polling averages for the presidential race nationally and in seven key battleground states as of Friday at 9:30 a.m. Arizona (11 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average ...
Here is a look at three polling averages for the presidential race nationally and in seven key battleground states as of Thursday at 8:15 a.m. Arizona (11 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average ...
The polls-only model relied only on polls from a particular state, while the polls-plus model was based on state polls, national polls and endorsements. For each contest, FiveThirtyEight produced probability distributions and average expected vote shares according to both models.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a] Margin 270toWin [1] through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 48.4%: 47.2% 4.4% Harris +1.2%: 538 [2] through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 48.0%: 46.8% 5.2% Harris +1.2%: Cook Political Report [3] through ...
Poll source Date Sample size [a] MoE Approve Disapprove Unsure/ Other 538 aggregate: January 31 49% 44% 7% Napolitan/RMG Research: January 27–31 4,000 RV
Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point, according to an average of dozens of national opinion polls compiled by 538, a ...
Here is a look at three polling averages for the presidential race nationally and in seven key battleground states as of Thursday at 8:20 a.m. Arizona (11 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average ...