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In statistics, Poisson regression is a generalized linear model form of regression analysis used to model count data and contingency tables. [1] Poisson regression assumes the response variable Y has a Poisson distribution , and assumes the logarithm of its expected value can be modeled by a linear combination of unknown parameters .
As the examples above show, zero-inflated data can arise as a mixture of two distributions. The first distribution generates zeros. The first distribution generates zeros. The second distribution, which may be a Poisson distribution , a negative binomial distribution or other count distribution, generates counts, some of which may be zeros.
The GLM generalizes linear regression by allowing the linear model to be related to the response variable via a link function and by allowing the magnitude of the variance of each measurement to be a function of its predicted value. Generalized linear models were formulated by John Nelder and Robert Wedderburn as a way of unifying various other ...
The earliest regression form was seen in Isaac Newton's work in 1700 while studying equinoxes, being credited with introducing "an embryonic linear aggression analysis" as "Not only did he perform the averaging of a set of data, 50 years before Tobias Mayer, but summing the residuals to zero he forced the regression line to pass through the ...
Linear panel data models use the linear additivity of the fixed effects to difference them out and circumvent the incidental parameter problem. Even though Poisson models are inherently nonlinear, the use of the linear index and the exponential link function lead to multiplicative separability, more specifically [2] E[y it ∨ x i1...
For example, suppose that the values x are realizations from different Poisson distributions: i.e. the distributions each have different mean values μ. Then, because for the Poisson distribution the variance is identical to the mean, the variance varies with the mean. However, if the simple variance-stabilizing transformation
The Poisson distribution has one free parameter and does not allow for the variance to be adjusted independently of the mean. The choice of a distribution from the Poisson family is often dictated by the nature of the empirical data. For example, Poisson regression analysis is commonly used to model count data. If overdispersion is a feature ...
For example, if the functional form of the model does not match the data, R 2 can be high despite a poor model fit. Anscombe's quartet consists of four example data sets with similarly high R 2 values, but data that sometimes clearly does not fit the regression line. Instead, the data sets include outliers, high-leverage points, or non-linearities.