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Kemp won his first term by a narrow 55,000-vote margin (1.4%) in 2018, which was Georgia's closest gubernatorial election since 1966. In 2022, however, pre-election forecasting showed a solid lead for Kemp throughout and he ultimately won re-election by nearly 300,000 votes (7.5%) - the largest raw vote victory for a Georgia governor since 2006.
The 2020 election was the first time Georgia has gone blue since 1980, when Georgia's Jimmy Carter won the state by nearly 15%. National Polling Numbers for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump
This year continues the trend from the past few elections of Trump outperforming the polls. According to Project 538's polling average, Trump was leading Harris by just 0.8% going into Election Day.
Election handicapper Sabato’s Crystal Ball on Monday shifted its rating for Georgia’s gubernatorial race from “leans Republican” to “likely Republican,” suggesting Gov. Brian Kemp (R ...
The 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp will be term-limited by the Georgia Constitution in 2026 and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term.
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
The latest polls from AtlasIntel, deemed the most accurate by polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, found Trump leading Harris in Georgia by a mere 0.6%, with 49.6% of the vote to Harris’ 49%.
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