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On June 6, 2010, FiveThirtyEight posted pollster rankings that updated and elaborated Silver's efforts from the 2008 election. Silver expanded the database to more than 4,700 election polls and developed a model for rating the polls that was more sophisticated than his original rankings. [538 3] [13] Silver responded on 538: "Where's the ...
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
Just more than a week into their presidencies, Former President Joe Biden's was +21.8 and former President Barack Obama's approval rating was +46.9 points, FiveThirtyEight reported at the time.
Trump’s disapproval rating, according to the same group, has risen during that same time from 41.5% disapproval to 47.8%, notably ... According to FiveThirtyEight’s aggregation of approval ...
According to FiveThirtyEight, Trump’s approval rating has remained nearly unchanged in the last three weeks, but his disapproval rating has risen from 41.5% to 45.7%.
Poll source Date Sample size [a] MoE Approve Disapprove Unsure/ Other 538 aggregate: January 31 49% 44% 7% Napolitan/RMG Research: January 27–31 4,000 RV
You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. If a pollster has a 3.0 rating, you should take it pretty seriously; if it has a 0.5 rating, it's not very reliable.
Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races. [ 127 ] In 2009 through 2012, Silver appeared as a political analyst on MSNBC, [ 128 ] CNN [ 129 ] and Bloomberg Television , [ 130 ] [ 131 ] PBS , [ 132 ] NPR, [ 133 ] Democracy Now! , [ 134 ] The Charlie Rose Show ...