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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Historical average polling approval of each presidency since 1953. Polling figures are the unweighted mean of both polling averages reported by Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight. [25] [26] [27] Figures listed for President Joe Biden are current as of August 22, 2024 and will be updated through completion of the first term of his ...
Polling group Date Approve Disapprove Unsure Sample size Polling method Segment polled Source(s) Gallup: February 1–20, 2024 38% 59% 3% 1,016 phone All adults [10] YouGov (for The Economist) February 4–6, 2024 42% 55% 4% 1,591 online All adults [11] Monmouth University: February 8–12, 2024 38% 58% 4% 902 telephone All adults [12]
One notable pollster that does still use RDD is Selzer & Co., which had Vice President Kamala Harris leading President-elect Donald Trump by 3 points in its final poll of Iowa this year.
Real Clear Polling average: Trump +0.5. Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +0.5. 270 to Win average: Trump +0.4. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +0.3. National ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won? ... Texas voting hours on Election Day are 7 a.m. to 7 p.m ...
The accuracy of Gallup's forecasts indicated the value of modern statistical methods; according to data collected in the Gallup poll, the Literary Digest poll failed primarily due to non-response bias (Roosevelt won 69 percent of Literary Digest readers who did not participate in the poll) rather than selection bias as commonly believed.
Real Clear Polling average: Trump +0.3. Michigan (15 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +1.8. 270 to Win average: Harris +2.6. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +1.2. Nevada (6 ...