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  2. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    In his first paper on Markov chains, published in 1906, Markov showed that under certain conditions the average outcomes of the Markov chain would converge to a fixed vector of values, so proving a weak law of large numbers without the independence assumption, [16] [17] [18] which had been commonly regarded as a requirement for such ...

  3. Examples of Markov chains - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Examples_of_Markov_chains

    A game of snakes and ladders or any other game whose moves are determined entirely by dice is a Markov chain, indeed, an absorbing Markov chain. This is in contrast to card games such as blackjack, where the cards represent a 'memory' of the past moves. To see the difference, consider the probability for a certain event in the game.

  4. Uniformization (probability theory) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uniformization...

    In probability theory, uniformization method, (also known as Jensen's method [1] or the randomization method [2]) is a method to compute transient solutions of finite state continuous-time Markov chains, by approximating the process by a discrete-time Markov chain. [2]

  5. Markov chain Monte Carlo - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain_Monte_Carlo

    In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution.Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution.

  6. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix.

  7. Matrix analytic method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matrix_analytic_method

    [1] [2] Such models are often described as M/G/1 type Markov chains because they can describe transitions in an M/G/1 queue. [3] [4] The method is a more complicated version of the matrix geometric method and is the classical solution method for M/G/1 chains. [5]

  8. Markov decision process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_decision_process

    Markov decision process (MDP), also called a stochastic dynamic program or stochastic control problem, is a model for sequential decision making when outcomes are uncertain. [ 1 ] Originating from operations research in the 1950s, [ 2 ] [ 3 ] MDPs have since gained recognition in a variety of fields, including ecology , economics , healthcare ...

  9. Discrete-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discrete-time_Markov_chain

    A Markov chain with two states, A and E. In probability, a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) is a sequence of random variables, known as a stochastic process, in which the value of the next variable depends only on the value of the current variable, and not any variables in the past.