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  2. A historian who's correctly predicted 9 out of 10 elections ...

    www.aol.com/historian-whos-correctly-predicted-9...

    Vice President Kamala Harris will beat former President Donald Trump this November, says the historian who successfully predicted nine out of 10 presidential elections since 1984.

  3. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    Similarly, he predicted in 2010 that Barack Obama would win re-election in 2012, a prediction made when Obama's job approval ratings were below 50 percent. [70] When the keys model was first developed, it was for predicting the national popular vote. [71] In 1999, Lichtman predicted a win for Al Gore in 2000, and Gore did win the popular vote. [72]

  4. Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential ...

    www.aol.com/historian-accurately-predicted-9...

    Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential ...

  5. Historian who correctly predicted 9 of last 10 presidential ...

    www.aol.com/historian-correctly-predicted-9-last...

    According to his model, democratic candidate Kamala Harris will win the US elections in 2024. Lichtman has correctly called all but one election since 1984. (Photo by Pedro Ugarte / AFP) (Photo by ...

  6. Allan Lichtman - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Lichtman

    On September 5, 2024, Lichtman predicted that Harris would win the election. [55] On November 6, 2024, contrary to Lichtman's prediction, Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. [8] This was the first time Lichtman inaccurately predicted both the popular vote and the Electoral College outcome.

  7. Polling for United States presidential elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polling_for_United_States...

    After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical random sampling within 1.1 percent of the Literary Digest results.

  8. Historian who predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections ...

    www.aol.com/historian-predicted-9-last-10...

    Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. Historian who predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections ...

  9. Why historian who accurately predicts elections says ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/why-historian-accurately-predicts...

    Lichtman predicted last month that Vice President Kamala Harris would win. He based his prediction off thirteen keys, or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and ...