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  2. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    In this situation, the event A can be analyzed by a conditional probability with respect to B. If the event of interest is A and the event B is known or assumed to have occurred, "the conditional probability of A given B", or "the probability of A under the condition B", is usually written as P(A|B) [2] or occasionally P B (A).

  3. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    These are the only cases where the host opens door 3, so the conditional probability of winning by switching given the host opens door 3 is ⁠ 1/3 / 1/3 + q/3 ⁠ which simplifies to ⁠ 1 / 1 + q ⁠. Since q can vary between 0 and 1 this conditional probability can vary between ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ and 1. This means even without constraining the ...

  4. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    The conditional opinion | generalizes the probabilistic conditional (|), i.e. in addition to assigning a probability the source can assign any subjective opinion to the conditional statement (|). A binomial subjective opinion ω A S {\displaystyle \omega _{A}^{S}} is the belief in the truth of statement A {\displaystyle A} with degrees of ...

  5. Conditional event algebra - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_event_algebra

    In probability theory, a conditional event algebra (CEA) is an alternative to a standard, Boolean algebra of possible events (a set of possible events related to one another by the familiar operations and, or, and not) that contains not just ordinary events but also conditional events that have the form "if A, then B".

  6. Conditioning (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditioning_(probability)

    Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations, and conditional probability distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of ...

  7. Conditional probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability...

    Given , the Radon-Nikodym theorem implies that there is [3] a -measurable random variable ():, called the conditional probability, such that () = for every , and such a random variable is uniquely defined up to sets of probability zero. A conditional probability is called regular if ⁡ () is a probability measure on (,) for all a.e.

  8. Chain rule (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_rule_(probability)

    In probability theory, the chain rule [1] (also called the general product rule [2] [3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities.

  9. Tree diagram (probability theory) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tree_diagram_(probability...

    A tree diagram may represent a series of independent events (such as a set of coin flips) or conditional probabilities (such as drawing cards from a deck, without replacing the cards). [1] Each node on the diagram represents an event and is associated with the probability of that event. The root node represents the certain event and therefore ...

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