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  2. What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving ...

    www.aol.com/5-things-know-mystery-30-172117457.html

    Kamala Harris' roughly 2-point lead over Donald Trump was from a polling average compiled by 538, not by a national poll conducted by the site. Read the original article on Business Insider Show ...

  3. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    While polls tell you about how people responded in the recent past, the odds on sites like PredictIt and Polymarket show real-time sentiment and are better for mapping the future, according to Miller.

  4. Election betting sites pour money into social media ads ahead

    www.aol.com/election-betting-sites-pour-money...

    In another post, Musk said that Polymarket odds were “more accurate than polls.” A Nov. 3 NBC News poll found Harris and Trump were deadlocked among respondents, each with 49% support from ...

  5. Polymarket likely to remain offshore for now despite ruling ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-likely-remain...

    Polymarket declined to comment for this story, but a person familiar with the company said it was unlikely the court ruling would result in any sites offering bets in the U.S. on the presidential ...

  6. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

  7. Polymarket's pro-Trump election predictions aren't so ...

    www.aol.com/polymarkets-pro-trump-election...

    The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.

  8. The French ‘whale’ who made massive pro-Trump bets is only ...

    www.aol.com/finance/french-whale-made-massive...

    Polymarket has been cited over the past several months by mainstream media outlets as an alternative to traditional polls, with some election watchers arguing that prediction markets are more ...

  9. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan says he founded the popular ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplan...

    Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Courtesy of Polymarket) In today’s world, you can pretty much bet on anything—from whether Taylor Swift will be seen at the next Kansas City Chiefs NFL game to ...