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Beyond the Limits and The Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update were published in 1992 and 2004 respectively; [8] [9] in 2012, a 40-year forecast from Jørgen Randers, one of the book's original authors, was published as 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years; [10] and in 2022 two of the original Limits to Growth authors, Dennis ...
In 2015, Stratfor published a decade forecast for 2015 to 2025, which revised the predictions on China and Russia made in the book. Rather than the Russian government completely collapsing, it envisioned that the Russian government would lose much of its power, and the country would gradually fragment into a series of semi-autonomous regions.
The social scientist Luke Kemp analyzed dozens of civilizations, which he defined as "a society with agriculture, multiple cities, military dominance in its geographical region and a continuous political structure", from 3000 BC to 600 AD and calculated that the average life span of a civilization is close to 340 years. [1]
Some of the more extreme warnings of civilizational collapse caused by climate change, such as a claim that civilization is highly likely to end by 2050, have attracted strong rebutals from scientists. [5] [6] The 2022 IPCC Sixth Assessment Report projects that human population would be in a range between 8.5 billion and 11 billion people by ...
Africa's share of global population is projected to grow from 17% in 2020 to 25% in 2050 and 38% by 2100, while the share of Asia will fall from 60% in 2020 to 55% in 2050 and 45% in 2100. [ 5 ] [ 6 ] The strong growth of the African population will happen regardless of the rate of decrease of fertility, because of the high proportion of young ...
The Olduvai Theory posits that industrial civilization, as it currently exists, will have a maximum duration of approximately one hundred years, beginning in 1930. . According to this theory, from 2030 onward, humanity is expected to gradually regress to levels of civilization comparable to those experienced in the past, ultimately culminating in a hunting-based culture by around 3
Samuel Phillips Huntington (April 18, 1927 – December 24, 2008) was an American political scientist, adviser, and academic.He spent more than half a century at Harvard University, where he was director of Harvard's Center for International Affairs and the Albert J. Weatherhead III University Professor.
Decline and Fall: the End of Empire and the Future of Democracy in the 21st Century. New Society Publishers. 2014. ISBN 978-0-86571-764-0. After Progress: Reason and Religion at the End of the Industrial Age Paperback. New Society Publishers. 2015. ISBN 978-0-86571-791-6. Collapse Now and Avoid the Rush: the Best of the Archdruid Report ...