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As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538's polling averages is smaller than 4 points in seven states: the familiar septet of Arizona ...
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
This year, thanks to her stronger standing in state polls than in national ones, our forecast thinks Harris needs to win the national popular vote by only about 2.1 points in order to be favored ...
47.2% 4.4% Harris +1.2%: 538 [2] through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 48.0%: 46.8% 5.2% Harris +1.2%: Cook Political Report [3] through November 4, 2024
On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls for several weeks. The latest polls from the New York Times /Siena College have Harris ahead by 3 points, at 49 percent and ...
Trump’s polling lead on Harris heading into Election Day had only gotten up to about 0.9% and 1.2% in respective aggregates from Project 538 and ... a 5.2% win for Harris (224,321 votes), and ...
Harris has 49 percent of the vote and Trump 48 percent, according to the poll, which was taken in the first two weeks of October. This close race is also reflected in the swing states.
J. Ann Selzer's once-respected poll showed that Kamala Harris was leading in Iowa — only for Trump to win the state by more than 13 percentage points on Election Day.