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  2. Federal funds rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate

    Federal funds rate vs unemployment rate. In the United States, the federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions (banks and credit unions) lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight on an uncollateralized basis. Reserve balances are amounts held at the Federal Reserve.

  3. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    10 year minus 2 year treasury yield. In finance, the yield curve is a graph which depicts how the yields on debt instruments – such as bonds – vary as a function of their years remaining to maturity. [1][2] Typically, the graph's horizontal or x-axis is a time line of months or years remaining to maturity, with the shortest maturity on the ...

  4. St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Louis_Fed_Financial...

    History. The STLFSI was first published in early 2010, with data going back to 1993, in an effort to better gauge levels of financial stress in the aftermath of the 2007-2008 financial crisis. It has been updated three times since, with the current version referred to as the STLFSI4.

  5. Key recession indicator sends investors sharpest warning in ...

    www.aol.com/finance/key-recession-indicator...

    Loaded 0%. The Treasury market is sending its sharpest warning about recession risks since 1981. On Tuesday, the difference in the yield on 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes further inverted, with ...

  6. The Fed Reserve Hiked Rates Again. Should You Worry ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/amid-latest-rate-hike-worry...

    This is less than that paid by the 6-Month Treasury Bill (4.57%), the 1-Year Treasury Bill (4.76%), or the 2-Year Treasury Note (4.61%). The inverted yield curve can be a significant indicator of ...

  7. Professor behind recession indicator with a perfect track ...

    www.aol.com/finance/professor-behind-recession...

    The inverted yield curve indicator, which occurs when the yield on three-month Treasury bills exceeds the yield on 10-year notes, is a perfect 8-for-8 in preceding every recession since World War II.

  8. TED spread - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TED_spread

    TED spread. TED spread (in red) and components during the financial crisis of 2007–08. TED spread (in green), 1986 to 2015. The TED spread is the difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and on short-term U.S. government debt ("T-bills"). TED is an acronym formed from T-Bill and ED, the ticker symbol for the Eurodollar futures ...

  9. Survey: Market pros see 10-year Treasury yield under 4% a ...

    www.aol.com/finance/survey-market-pros-see-10...

    Bankrate’s Second-Quarter Market Mavens survey found that market experts see the 10-year Treasury yield falling to 3.96 percent a year from now, down from 4.34 percent at the end of the survey ...

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