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  2. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Bayes' theorem applied to an event space generated by continuous random variables X and Y with known probability distributions. There exists an instance of Bayes' theorem for each point in the domain. In practice, these instances might be parametrized by writing the specified probability densities as a function of x and y.

  3. An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_towards_solving_a...

    The essay includes theorems of conditional probability which form the basis of what is now called Bayes's Theorem, together with a detailed treatment of the problem of setting a prior probability. Bayes supposed a sequence of independent experiments, each having as its outcome either success or failure, the probability of success being some ...

  4. Statistical proof - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_proof

    Bayesian statistics are based on a different philosophical approach for proof of inference.The mathematical formula for Bayes's theorem is: [|] = [|] [] []The formula is read as the probability of the parameter (or hypothesis =h, as used in the notation on axioms) “given” the data (or empirical observation), where the horizontal bar refers to "given".

  5. Bayesian statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_statistics

    Bayes' theorem describes the conditional probability of an event based on data as well as prior information or beliefs about the event or conditions related to the event. [3] [4] For example, in Bayesian inference, Bayes' theorem can be used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution or statistical model. Since Bayesian statistics ...

  6. Bayes classifier - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_classifier

    In statistical classification, the Bayes classifier is the classifier having the smallest probability of misclassification of all classifiers using the same set of features. [ 1 ] Definition

  7. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    A geometric visualization of Bayes' theorem. In the table, the values 2, 3, 6 and 9 give the relative weights of each corresponding condition and case. The figures denote the cells of the table involved in each metric, the probability being the fraction of each figure that is shaded.

  8. Normalizing constant - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalizing_constant

    Bayes' theorem says that the posterior probability measure is proportional to the product of the prior probability measure and the likelihood function. Proportional to implies that one must multiply or divide by a normalizing constant to assign measure 1 to the whole space, i.e., to get a probability measure.

  9. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    The likelihood ratio is also of central importance in Bayesian inference, where it is known as the Bayes factor, and is used in Bayes' rule. Stated in terms of odds , Bayes' rule states that the posterior odds of two alternatives, ⁠ A 1 {\displaystyle A_{1}} ⁠ and ⁠ A 2 {\displaystyle A_{2}} ⁠ , given an event ⁠ B {\displaystyle B ...