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  2. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    The British pound yield curve on February 9, 2005. This curve is unusual (inverted) in that long-term rates are lower than short-term ones. Yield curves are usually upward sloping asymptotically: the longer the maturity, the higher the yield, with diminishing marginal increases (that is, as one moves to the right, the curve flattens out).

  3. Expectations hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expectations_hypothesis

    The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates (whose graphical representation is known as the yield curve) is the proposition that the long-term rate is determined purely by current and future expected short-term rates, in such a way that the expected final value of wealth from investing in a sequence of short-term bonds equals the final value of wealth from investing in ...

  4. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    An inverted yield curve is an unusual phenomenon; bonds with shorter maturities generally provide lower yields than longer term bonds. [2] [3] To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10 ...

  5. The 'yield curve' is one of the most accurate predictors of a ...

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  6. Contango - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contango

    The futures or forward curve would typically be upward sloping (i.e., "normal"), since contracts for further dates would typically trade at even higher prices. The curves in question plot market prices for various contracts at different maturities (cf. term structure of interest rates). "In broad terms, backwardation reflects the majority ...

  7. A Yield Curve Inversion Would Wallop This High-Yield ... - AOL

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  8. Business cycle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle

    When the yield curve is inverted banks are often caught paying more on short-term deposits (or other forms of short-term wholesale funding) than they are making on long-term loans leading to a loss of profitability and reluctance to lend resulting in a credit crunch. When the yield curve is upward sloping, banks can profitably take-in short ...

  9. Bond yields signal buy, but the entry point is choppy. Here's ...

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    The 10-year Treasury yield is rising towards 5% for the first time in many years. Yields jumped due to concerns over strong economic data, inflation fears, and political uncertainty.