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The weighted mean in this case is: ¯ = ¯ (=), (where the order of the matrix–vector product is not commutative), in terms of the covariance of the weighted mean: ¯ = (=), For example, consider the weighted mean of the point [1 0] with high variance in the second component and [0 1] with high variance in the first component.
The expected value of a random variable is the weighted average of the possible values it might take on, with the weights being the respective probabilities. More generally, the expected value of a function of a random variable is the probability-weighted average of the values the function takes on for each possible value of the random variable.
It is a measure used to evaluate the performance of regression or forecasting models. It is a variant of MAPE in which the mean absolute percent errors is treated as a weighted arithmetic mean. Most commonly the absolute percent errors are weighted by the actuals (e.g. in case of sales forecasting, errors are weighted by sales volume). [3]
In mathematics and statistics, the arithmetic mean (/ ˌ æ r ɪ θ ˈ m ɛ t ɪ k / arr-ith-MET-ik), arithmetic average, or just the mean or average (when the context is clear) is the sum of a collection of numbers divided by the count of numbers in the collection. [1] The collection is often a set of results from an experiment, an ...
The problem is that it can be negative (if + <) or even undefined (if + =). Therefore, the currently accepted version of SMAPE assumes the absolute values in the denominator. Therefore, the currently accepted version of SMAPE assumes the absolute values in the denominator.
In decision theory, the weighted sum model (WSM), [1] [2] also called weighted linear combination (WLC) [3] or simple additive weighting (SAW), [4] is the best known and simplest multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) / multi-criteria decision making method for evaluating a number of alternatives in terms of a number of decision criteria.
For normally distributed random variables inverse-variance weighted averages can also be derived as the maximum likelihood estimate for the true value. Furthermore, from a Bayesian perspective the posterior distribution for the true value given normally distributed observations and a flat prior is a normal distribution with the inverse-variance weighted average as a mean and variance ().
For example, it is easy to show that the arithmetic mean of a set of measurements of a quantity is the least-squares estimator of the value of that quantity. If the conditions of the Gauss–Markov theorem apply, the arithmetic mean is optimal, whatever the distribution of errors of the measurements might be.