Search results
Results from the WOW.Com Content Network
As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538's polling averages is smaller than 4 points in seven states: the familiar septet of Arizona ...
Whereas Harris underperformed Biden's 2020 total by nearly 2 million, Trump narrowly surpassed his vote total from 2020, solidifying his base of support in the state at just over 6 million votes; this marked his third-highest vote total from any state in the country in 2024, only behind 6.4 million in Texas and 6.1 million in Florida. The swing ...
To compare our model with others, we output the probability each candidate will win in each state. Download our TSV files for state-by-state averages and state-by-state curves. 2. Likely Vote Counts. Finally, we simulate a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using the state-by-state averages. In each simulation, we generate a result for each state ...
PHOTO: 538's national polling average of the presidential election as of Sept. 17, 2024 at 9 a.m. Eastern. (538 photo illustration)
The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket did not respond to a request for comment.
[538 41] [34] [35] The transition took place on August 25, 2010, with the publication of Silver's first FiveThirtyEight blog article online in The New York Times. [538 42] On June 3, 2010, The New York Times and Silver announced that FiveThirtyEight had formed a partnership under which the blog would be hosted by the Times for a period of three ...
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are virtually tied in Pennsylvania and Georgia — the two states that are likely to decide the 2024 election — according to a poll ...