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Some pollsters also argued that the public’s interpretations of the polls and forecast models are more responsible for the perception that Trump outperforms the polls — rather than the numbers ...
Polls almost always undercount Trump’s support, leading him to drastically overperform pre-election assumptions. At this point in 2020, Trump trailed then-candidate Joe Biden by 7 points per the ...
Trump’s campaign did not respond to a request for comment. Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally Monday at the J.S. Dorton Arena in Raleigh, North Carolina.
The election was seen as very close, with polls unable to determine a favored candidate. [3] [8] Heading into the rally, Trump was increasingly being described as a "fascist," [9] [10] particularly as former top Trump advisors Mark Milley, John Kelly and Jim Mattis had recently described Trump as such. [11] [12]
Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point, according to an average of dozens of national opinion polls compiled by 538, a ...
Trump resumed campaign rallies on June 20, at a time when about 25,000 new cases were being diagnosed per day and the rate of new cases was increasing. The daily rate of new COVID-19 diagnoses reached 85,000 cases by Election Day.
In October 2024, The New York Times reported on a number of polls commissioned by right-wing firms, most showing a Trump victory and standing out "amid the hundreds of others indicating a dead heat in the presidential election" and that they were seen as "building a narrative of unstoppable momentum for Mr. Trump". It further said that the ...
Americans are heading to the polls on Election Day after Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump made their final pitches to voters on Monday, the last full day of ...