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Business cycles are a type of fluctuation found in the aggregate economic activity of nations that organize their work mainly in business enterprises: a cycle consists of expansions occurring at about the same time in many economic activities, followed by similarly general recessions, contractions, and revivals which merge into the expansion ...
Real business-cycle theory (RBC theory) is a class of new classical macroeconomics models in which business-cycle fluctuations are accounted for by real (in contrast to nominal) shocks. [1] Unlike other leading theories of the business cycle, [ citation needed ] RBC theory sees business cycle fluctuations as the efficient response to exogenous ...
Procyclical and countercyclical variables are variables that fluctuate in a way that is positively or negatively correlated with business cycle fluctuations in gross domestic product (GDP). The scope of the concept may differ between the context of macroeconomic theory and that of economic policy–making.
Debt deflation is a theory of economic cycles which holds that recessions and depressions are due to the overall level of debt shrinking (deflating). Hence, the credit cycle is the cause of the economic cycle. The theory was developed by Irving Fisher following the Wall Street Crash of 1929 and the ensuing Great Depression.
The Austrian business cycle theory (ABCT) is an economic theory developed by the Austrian School of economics seeking to explain how business cycles occur. The theory views business cycles as the consequence of excessive growth in bank credit due to artificially low interest rates set by a central bank or fractional reserve banks. [1]
Other economists focused more on theory in their business cycle analysis. Most business cycle theories focused on a single factor, [9] such as monetary policy or the impact of weather on the largely agricultural economies of the time. [8] Although business cycle theory was well established by the 1920s, work by theorists such as Dennis ...
"The economy has been more resilient than initially thought, but the pandemic hasn't repealed the business cycle and a recession will occur at some point, with several leading indicators pointing ...
Business Cycles: The Problem and its Setting, New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1927. ISBN 978-0-405-07608-4; The Backward Art of Spending Money: and other essays, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1937. ISBN 978-0-7658-0611-6; Measuring Business Cycles (with A.F. Burns), New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1946. ISBN 978-0-87014 ...