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  2. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Since departing FiveThirtyEight, Silver has been publishing on his Substack blog Silver Bulletin [3] and serves as an advisor to Polymarket. [ 4 ] Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after his election forecasting model correctly predicted the outcomes in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 U.S. presidential ...

  3. Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict ...

    www.aol.com/allan-lichtman-vs-nate-silver...

    Silver gained national recognition in 2008 when his statistical model correctly forecasted the outcome of the presidential election in 49 of the 50 states. His model has since predicted the ...

  4. Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model ...

    www.aol.com/news/top-polling-guru-reveals-final...

    Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer ...

  5. The Signal and the Noise - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Signal_and_the_Noise

    Nate Silver's The Signal and Noise is an excellent description of how prediction works. However, he purposefully leaves out the mathematics. In 2012, after his triumph of predicting the outcome of the last two presidential elections and selling his "fivethirtyeight" blog to the New York Times, Nate Silver accomplished what is almost impossible.

  6. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    In August 2010, the blog became a licensed feature of The New York Times online and was renamed FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus. In July 2013, ESPN acquired FiveThirtyEight , hiring Silver as editor-in-chief and a contributor for ESPN.com ; the new publication launched on March 17, 2014. [ 6 ]

  7. Polymarket favors Trump to win the election. Can the siteā€”and ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplan...

    Polymarket has hired polling superstar Nate Silver and is now a must-read for politicos. ... displayed around RNC headquarters—but so far has been careful not to reveal ... to be as accurate and ...

  8. List of polling organizations - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_polling_organizations

    Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]

  9. 'Two wizards bickering': Nate Silver, Allan Lichtman trade ...

    www.aol.com/two-wizards-bickering-nate-silver...

    The feud between historian Allan Lichtman and prognosticator Nate Silver is heating up on social media as Election Day approaches.. Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly ...