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RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news website and polling data aggregator. The site was formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan .
One notable pollster that does still use RDD is Selzer & Co., which had Vice President Kamala Harris leading President-elect Donald Trump by 3 points in its final poll of Iowa this year.
One possible reason for this drop in polls of competitive races is a significant drop in partisan polls of these seats. There have been only 81 partisan surveys in competitive House seats ...
You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. If a pollster has a 3.0 rating, you should take it pretty seriously; if it has a 0.5 rating, it's not very reliable ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
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Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [b] Independent Jill Stein Green Chase Oliver Libertarian Cornel West Independent Others/ Undecided [a] Margin Race to the WH [7] through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.8%: 47.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.5% ...