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Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [z] Margin 270 to Win [438] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [439]
Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [1] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [2]
The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the Democratic Party.
Harris is now the heavy favorite to be the Democratic nominee with her odds at -1000. Hillary Clinton is second at +1400 while Michelle Obama comes in third at +1800. Show comments
Nate Silver is famous for his election predictions. ... he predicted Democrats would lose if Joe Biden was at the top of the ticket. ... and spent $1.8 million over a year betting on NBA games ...
Polls show that most Democratic voters want someone other than Joe Biden to be their nominee, but not everyone is convinced that the alternatives would be stronger candidates. Biden’s 2024 odds ...
2024 U.S. presidential election: Candidate: Kamala Harris 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present) Tim Walz 41st Governor of Minnesota (2019–present) Affiliation: Democratic Party: Status: Announced: July 21, 2024 Presumptive nominee: July 22, 2024 Official nominee: August 5, 2024 Lost election: November 5, 2024: Headquarters
Harris is now +350 to win November's election, trailing only Republican candidate Donald Trump, who is a heavy favorite to win the election at -161. Trump's odds dipped a little after Biden bowed out.