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The concept became important in the general elections of the 1950s when it was found that there was a relatively uniform swing across all constituencies. This made it easy to predict the final outcomes of general elections when few actual results were known, as the swing in the first constituencies to declare could be applied to every seat.
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
An electoral swing analysis (or swing) shows the extent of change in voter support, typically from one election to another, expressed as a positive or negative percentage. A multi-party swing is an indicator of a change in the electorate's preference between candidates or parties, often between major parties in a two-party system.
Live election results and related data for Senate, House and governor's races Senate Outlook 2014 Forecasts for 2014’s Senate races, based on HuffPost Pollster’s poll-tracking model
This general election was the first in which photo identification was required to vote in person in Great Britain, [c] the first fought using the new constituency boundaries implemented following the 2023 review of Westminster constituencies, and the first called under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. [12]
Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election was scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020. However, on 18 April 2017, Prime Minister Theresa May said that she would seek to bring forward the general election to Thursday 8 June 2017, which the House of Commons approved on 19 April. For an early election to be held, two-thirds of the total ...
The hypothetical results of the 2019 election, if they had taken place under boundaries recommended by the Sixth Periodic Review. Notional election results are calculations made, usually following boundary changes of electoral districts brought about by population shifts, to determine what election results would have been in previous elections had the newly created boundaries then been in place.
Results of the July 2024 general election to the House of Commons of the United Kingdom [4] [5] Affiliate Leader Candidates MPs Aggregate votes Total Gained [c] Lost [c] Net Of total (%) Total Of total (%) Change (%) Labour: Keir Starmer: 631 411 218 7 211 63.2 9,708,716 33.70 1.6 Conservative: Rishi Sunak: 635 121 1 252 251 18.6 6,828,925 23. ...