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Illinois shifted towards Trump, Harris winning the state by a 10.9% margin, six points down from Biden. The state’s red shift was caused by low Democratic turnout in Cook County , home to Chicago with Harris receiving about 300,000 fewer votes than Biden in Cook County, while Trump ran marginally ahead of his 2020 raw vote total in Chicago ...
FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +0.5. 270 to Win average: Trump +0.4. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +0.3. National polling averages. FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +2.4. 270 to Win average ...
RealClearPolling favors Trump by 0.1% over Harris, a reversal from last week, when Harris was favored by 0.9% over Trump. Previously, RCP favored Harris by 1.4% two weeks ago, Harris ahead by 2.0% ...
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
ABC News project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2%.
Republican Donald Trump, representing neighboring Florida, flipped Georgia back into the Republican column, winning with a majority and a margin of 2.2% over Democrat Kamala Harris. This was the first time a Republican candidate would win a federal statewide race in Georgia since Trump's 5% victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Georgia (Trump +0 .9% in 2024; Biden ... The Silver Bulletin model currently thinks Harris would win the Electoral College 55 times out of 100; Trump would win the other 45 times. ... The question ...
The latest polls from AtlasIntel, deemed the most accurate by polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, found Trump leading Harris in Georgia by a mere 0.6%, with 49.6% of the vote to Harris’ 49%.