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Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
Even ahead of Tuesday, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat." Nov 7, 2:19 PM Gonzalez ekes out win in ...
In September 2014, Silver put into the public domain all of his pollster ratings, [538 6] as well as descriptive summary data for all of the more than 6,600 polls in his data collection for the final three weeks of U.S. presidential primaries and general elections, state governor elections, and U.S. Senate and U.S. Congress elections for the ...
PHOTO: Governor of Utah, Spencer Cox, speaks to the fans after the final round of the Black Desert Championship 2024 at Black Desert Resort on Oct. 13, 2024 in St George, Utah. (Christian Petersen ...
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano to win his first term in office.
“We will publish an election forecast including the new presumptive Democratic nominee, when such nominee is announced.” Data journalist Nate Silver criticized FiveThirtyEight, the polling and ...
Scott Martin, state senator from SD-13 (2017–present) and candidate for governor in 2022 [1] Doug Mastriano, state senator from SD-33 (2019–present) and nominee for governor in 2022 [2] [3] Scott Perry, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2019–present) [2] Kristin Phillips-Hill, state senator from SD-28 ...