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Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. There are a wide range of possible outcomes for the 2024 presidential election.
Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts.
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
The 2024 Presidential Election Simulator and related statistics are now available on 270toWin. You can conduct individual simulated elections on your own or review the results of 25,000 simulations conducted each morning.
Results of 25,000 presidential election simulations conducted each day. Includes probability of Harris or Trump winning each state.
This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election. Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
Change history with the 2016 presidential election interactive map. Update a state winner by clicking it to rotate through candidates. Alternately, select a candidate color in the Map Color Palette, then select states to apply.
Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2022 House election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or based on actual poll closing times. The party with 218 or more seats will be the winner. There are a wide range of possible outcomes for the 2022 House election.
Through 2020, there have been 59 presidential elections. This page links to the results of those historical elections, including a larger map, results and synopsis of the race. An interactive version of each map is also available, letting you change history.