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The term law of total probability is sometimes taken to mean the law of alternatives, which is a special case of the law of total probability applying to discrete random variables. [ citation needed ] One author uses the terminology of the "Rule of Average Conditional Probabilities", [ 4 ] while another refers to it as the "continuous law of ...
The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then
In the latter two examples the law of total probability is irrelevant, since only a single event (the condition) is given. By contrast, in the example above the law of total probability applies, since the event X = 0.5 is included into a family of events X = x where x runs over (−1,1), and these events are a partition of the probability space.
In probability theory and statistics, the law of the unconscious statistician, or LOTUS, is a theorem which expresses the expected value of a function g(X) of a random variable X in terms of g and the probability distribution of X. The form of the law depends on the type of random variable X in question.
The certainty that is adopted can be described in terms of a numerical measure, and this number, between 0 and 1 (where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty) is called the probability. Probability theory is used extensively in statistics , mathematics , science and philosophy to draw conclusions about the likelihood of potential ...
It should only contain pages that are Probability theorems or lists of Probability theorems, as well as subcategories containing those things (themselves set categories). Topics about Probability theorems in general should be placed in relevant topic categories .
In probability theory, an event is a set of outcomes of an experiment (a subset of the sample space) to which a probability is assigned. [1] A single outcome may be an element of many different events, [2] and different events in an experiment are usually not equally likely, since they may include very different groups of outcomes. [3]
Then the first, "unexplained" term on the right-hand side of the above formula is the weighted average of the variances, hσ h 2 + (1 − h)σ t 2, and the second, "explained" term is the variance of the distribution that gives μ h with probability h and gives μ t with probability 1 − h.