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Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
The company performed well, producing accurate predictions in states ranging from South Carolina to Wisconsin, many of which featured inaccurate results by other pollsters. [ 9 ] [ non-primary source needed ] [ 10 ] After the November election, PPP was ranked by the Wall Street Journal as one of the two most accurate firms, among those who were ...
November 1 –2, 2008 51%: 43% 8 1,011 LV ±3.1% Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corporation [5] November 1–2, 2008 50%: 43% 7 971 LV ±3% CBS News [6] October 31–November 2, 2008 51%: 42% 9 714 LV Not reported Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby International (Daily Tracking) [7] October 31–November 2, 2008 50.9%: 43.8% 7.1 Not reported Not reported
Polling is a combination of math and logic, taking in all sorts of factors to try to deliver the most accurate estimate possible of the electorate. ... launching local pollster EPIC-MRA in 1992 ...
Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.
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In all, 53% of the popcorn poll’s participants favored Kennedy, who narrowly won the election with 49.7% of the popular vote. Polling purists understandably object to such surveys as ...
It currently holds a 3-star rating from FiveThirtyEight, their highest possible rating for a pollster, based on measurements of error, bias, and transparency in methodology. As of 2024, FiveThirtyEight describes The New York Times/Siena College Poll as the most accurate pollster in America. [24] [25]