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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
ABC News is projecting that Harris will win New Mexico's five electoral votes. ABC News is also projecting the state's U.S. Senate race for the Democratic incumbent, Martin Heinrich. Nov 6, 12:20 AM
To win the presidential election, a candidate needs to capture 270 of the 538 total electoral votes. Many states have a winner-takes-all approach, meaning that whichever candidate wins the most ...
The number of electoral votes, out of 538, allocated to each state and the District of Columbia for presidential elections held in 2024 and to be held in 2028 based on the 2020 census. Every jurisdiction is entitled to at least 3.
September 5, 2024 Cook Political Report [12] Safe D Likely R Likely D August 27, 2024 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [13] Safe D Likely R Safe D November 4, 2024 CNalysis [14] Safe D Very Likely R Solid D November 4, 2024 538 [15] Safe D Likely R Likely D July 15, 2024 CNN [16] Safe D Lean R Safe D January 14, 2024 Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe D ...
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...
The name FiveThirtyEight derives from the 538 electors in the United States Electoral College. [20] Writing for Daily Kos , Silver had gained a following, especially for his primary election forecast on Super Tuesday, February 5, 2008 .