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Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other/ Undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [147] October 17–27, 2020 November 3, 2020 61.7%: 32.3% 6.0% Biden +29.4: Real Clear Politics [148] September 26 – October 21, 2020 October 27, 2020 60.7%: 31.0% 8.3% Biden +29.7: FiveThirtyEight ...
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44 ]
With less than two weeks to go until Election Day on Nov. 5, a new batch of polls show the presidential race remains tight in many of the states likely to matter most.
Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
State or district EV PVI [1] 2016 result 2020 result Cook Oct 28, 2020 [2] Inside Elections Oct 28, 2020 [3] Sabato Nov 2, 2020 [4] Politico Nov 2, 2020 [5] Real Clear Politics Oct 29, 2020 [6] Niskanen Center Sep 15, 2020 [7] CNN Nov 2, 2020 [8] The Economist Nov 3, 2020 [9] CBS News Nov 1, 2020 [10] 270 to Win Nov 3, 2020 [11] ABC News Nov 2 ...
States in split time zones are noted, with races listed at the time they close (and statewide races listed in the hour the final polls in that state close). 7 P.M. EST Florida
By June 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was predicted to cause a large increase in mail voting because of the possible danger of congregating at polling places. [189] An August 2020 state-by-state analysis concluded that 76% of Americans were eligible to vote by mail in 2020, a record number.